[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 06 November

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Wed Nov 7 22:31:41 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                06 NOVEMBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 06 NOVEMBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 310, 11/06/07
10.7 FLUX=071.0  90-AVG=068        SSN=011      BKI=0001 1001  BAI=001
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0000 0001  PAI=001
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:069,069,068;SESC:069,069,068 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,008,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=003,001   27DAY-KP=0110 1101 0000 0001
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 05 NOV 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 06 NOV 07 are: 0o 0o 0o 0+   0+ 0o 0+ 1o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 06 NOV 07 are:   0   0   0   2   2   0   2   4 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 06 NOV is: 2.2E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    70.4,    71.0,    71.3 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
       during the past 24 hours. A new sunspot region emerged on the disk
       today and was assigned region 973 (S11W54). The region is a simple
       a-type sunspot group. This is the first spot to be reported since
       october 7, 2007.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet for first day (07 november), quiet to unsettled
       for the second day (08 november), and quiet again for the third day
       (09 november).

            Event probabilities 07 nov-09 nov

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 07 nov-09 nov

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 06/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0973 S11W54   019  0010 Axx  01   01 Alpha
Regions Due to Return 07 Nov to 09 Nov
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 06 NOVEMBER, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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