[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 11 November

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Mon Nov 12 22:31:41 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                11 NOVEMBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 11 NOVEMBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 315, 11/11/07
10.7 FLUX=069.0  90-AVG=068        SSN=000      BKI=0010 1101  BAI=001
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0010 0001  PAI=001
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:069,069,069;SESC:069,069,069 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,008,015/005,010,015
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=002,002   27DAY-KP=1000 0101 0001 1101
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 10 NOV 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 11 NOV 07 are: 0+ 0o 1- 0o   0o 0o 0o 1- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 11 NOV 07 are:   2   0   3   0   0   0   0   3 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 11 NOV is: 1.5E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  The visible disk remained
       spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       very low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to begin the period at quiet levels.  The arrival of a
       coronal hole high speed stream during the latter part of 13 november
       should raise levels to unsettled, with an occasional active period. 
       Isolated minor storm periods are possible at high latitudes.  The
       elevated activity is expected to persist through 14 november.

            Event probabilities 12 nov-14 nov

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 12 nov-14 nov

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/25/35
                        Minor storm           05/15/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/05/10

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/35/45
                        Minor storm           05/15/25
                        Major-severe storm    01/10/10


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 11/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 12 Nov to 14 Nov
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 11 NOVEMBER, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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