[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 14 November

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                14 NOVEMBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 14 NOVEMBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 318, 11/14/07
10.7 FLUX=070.0  90-AVG=068        SSN=000      BKI=3323 3322  BAI=012
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3312 2311  PAI=009
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:069,069,069;SESC:069,069,069 BAI/PAI-FCST=012,008,005/015,010,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=010,015   27DAY-KP=1233 2133 3222 5333
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 13 NOV 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 14 NOV 07 are: 3o 3- 1o 2o   2+ 3o 1o 1+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 14 NOV 07 are:  15  12   4   7   9  15   4   5 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 14 NOV is: 6.1E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
       The visible disk was spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Ace solar wind
       measurements indicated earth remained under the influence of a
       recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels during 15 - 16 november
       as the coronal hole high-speed stream gradually subsides. Field
       activity is expected to decrease to quiet levels on 17 november.

            Event probabilities 15 nov-17 nov

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 15 nov-17 nov

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                30/20/10
                        Minor storm           10/05/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                35/25/10
                        Minor storm           15/10/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 14/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 15 Nov to 17 Nov
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 14 NOVEMBER, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **