[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 18 November

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                18 NOVEMBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 18 NOVEMBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 322, 11/18/07
10.7 FLUX=069.0  90-AVG=068        SSN=000      BKI=1200 1100  BAI=002
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1200 0001  PAI=002
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:069,069,069;SESC:069,069,069 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,010,015/005,010,020
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=005,007   27DAY-KP=1100 1233 3321 1111
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 17 NOV 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 18 NOV 07 are: 1o 2- 0o 0o   0+ 0+ 0o 1- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 18 NOV 07 are:   4   6   0   0   2   2   0   3 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 18 NOV is: 3.3E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity has been very low.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field has been quiet.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       forecast to be quiet for 19 november.  A recurrent coronal hole high
       speed stream is expected to rotate into a geoeffective position on
       20 - 21 november creating unsettled conditions with the possibility
       for isolated active periods for both those days.

            Event probabilities 19 nov-21 nov

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 19 nov-21 nov

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/25/30
                        Minor storm           05/10/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/05/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/30/35
                        Minor storm           10/15/20
                        Major-severe storm    01/05/10


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 18/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
0974 N13W34   201                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 19 Nov to 21 Nov
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 18 NOVEMBER, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **