[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 20 November

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                20 NOVEMBER, 2007

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 20 NOVEMBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 324, 11/20/07
10.7 FLUX=070.0  90-AVG=068        SSN=000      BKI=2234 6433  BAI=024
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2234 6533  PAI=028
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,069;SESC:070,070,069 BAI/PAI-FCST=018,015,008/020,015,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=003,020   27DAY-KP=1001 1111 1102 3653
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 19 NOV 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 20 NOV 07 are: 2- 2o 3- 4+   6o 5o 3+ 3+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 20 NOV 07 are:   6   7  12  32  80  48  18  18 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 20 NOV is: 3.3E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was at very low levels.  The visible
       solar disk remained spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to continue
       at very low levels.

            The geomagnetic field was at quiet to major storm levels.  An
       isolated period of major storm conditions was observed from 20/1200
       - 1500Z.  Continued influence from a co-rotating interaction region
       and coronal hole high speed stream was seen by the ace spacecraft
       through the summary interval.  Solar wind speed ranged from
       approximately 440 km/s to a maximum of 510 km/s with bz varying from
       +10nt to -16nt during the summary period.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be at quiet to active levels.  On day one and two (21
       and 22 november), activity should remain at unsettled to active
       levels.  Isolated minor storm periods at middle latitudes and major
       storm levels at high latitudes are possible due to the continued
       effects from the coronal hole high speed stream.  Activity levels
       should decrease to quiet to unsettled conditions on 23 november.

            Event probabilities 21 nov-23 nov

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 21 nov-23 nov

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                35/30/15
                        Minor storm           15/15/05
                        Major-severe storm    10/10/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                40/35/20
                        Minor storm           20/20/15
                        Major-severe storm    15/15/10


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 20/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
0974 N13W60   201                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 21 Nov to 23 Nov
Nmbr Lat    Lo
0973 S11    019


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 20 NOVEMBER, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **