[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 24 November
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Sun Nov 25 22:31:38 GMT 2007
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
24 NOVEMBER, 2007
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 24 NOVEMBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------------
NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.
The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 328, 11/24/07
10.7 FLUX=071.0 90-AVG=068 SSN=015 BKI=3233 3332 BAI=013
BGND-XRAY=A1.0 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=3232 2432 PAI=012
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-MIN= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,008,005/015,010,005
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=007,014 27DAY-KP=2322 2311 2012 2254
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 23 NOV 07 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 24 NOV 07 are: 3- 2o 3- 2+ 2+ 4- 3+ 2+
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 24 NOV 07 are: 12 7 12 9 9 22 18 9
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 24 NOV is: 1.3E+08
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity was very low. New region 975 (N02W15)
was numbered today. This beta-type sunspot group has displayed
significant plage fluctuations throughout the region center.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be very
low.
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active conditions. The solar wind
data observed at the ace spacecraft indicates the continued
influence of the coronal hole high speed stream. The solar wind
speed has increased to around 645 km/s with bz fluctuations between
+/- 5 nt. The greater than 2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit was at high levels.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active conditions on
25-26 november. Predominantly quiet levels are expected on 27
november as the coronal hole rotates out of geoeffective position.
Event probabilities 25 nov-27 nov
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 25 nov-27 nov
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/10
Minor storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/10
Minor storm 10/10/01
Major-severe storm 05/05/01
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 24/2400Z
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Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
0975 N02W15 103 0020 Bxo 02 05 Beta
Regions Due to Return 25 Nov to 27 Nov
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 24 NOVEMBER, 2007
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Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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