[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 24 November

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Sun Nov 25 22:31:38 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                24 NOVEMBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 24 NOVEMBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 328, 11/24/07
10.7 FLUX=071.0  90-AVG=068        SSN=015      BKI=3233 3332  BAI=013
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3232 2432  PAI=012
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,008,005/015,010,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=007,014   27DAY-KP=2322 2311 2012 2254
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 23 NOV 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 24 NOV 07 are: 3- 2o 3- 2+   2+ 4- 3+ 2+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 24 NOV 07 are:  12   7  12   9   9  22  18   9 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 24 NOV is: 1.3E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  New region 975 (N02W15)
       was numbered today.  This beta-type sunspot group has displayed
       significant plage fluctuations throughout the region center.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to active conditions.  The solar wind
       data observed at the ace spacecraft indicates the continued
       influence of the coronal hole high speed stream.  The solar wind
       speed has increased to around 645 km/s with bz fluctuations between
       +/- 5 nt.  The greater than 2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous
       orbit was at high levels.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active conditions on
       25-26 november.  Predominantly quiet levels are expected on 27
       november as the coronal hole rotates out of geoeffective position.

            Event probabilities 25 nov-27 nov

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 25 nov-27 nov

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/15/10
                        Minor storm           05/05/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/20/10
                        Minor storm           10/10/01
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 24/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0975 N02W15   103  0020 Bxo  02   05 Beta
Regions Due to Return 25 Nov to 27 Nov
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 24 NOVEMBER, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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