[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 25 November

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Mon Nov 26 22:31:39 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                25 NOVEMBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 25 NOVEMBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 329, 11/25/07
10.7 FLUX=071.0  90-AVG=068        SSN=012      BKI=3332 3323  BAI=013
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3332 2323  PAI=011
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,005,005/010,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=014,010   27DAY-KP=2012 2254 5321 2211
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 24 NOV 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 25 NOV 07 are: 3o 3- 3- 2o   2+ 3- 2- 3+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 25 NOV 07 are:  15  12  12   7   9  12   6  18 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 25 NOV is: 1.3E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.  Solar wind
       observations from the ace spacecraft show continued presence of the
       recurrent coronal hole high speed stream.  Solar wind velocity
       averaged between 580-620 km/s with bz fluctuations +/- 4 nt.  The
       greater than 2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
       high levels.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled on 26 november with quiet levels
       returning on 27-28 november.

            Event probabilities 26 nov-28 nov

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 26 nov-28 nov

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/10/10
                        Minor storm           10/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 25/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0975 N02W27   102  0010 Bxo  03   02 Beta
Regions Due to Return 26 Nov to 28 Nov
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 25 NOVEMBER, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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