[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 27 November

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Wed Nov 28 22:31:36 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                27 NOVEMBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 27 NOVEMBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 331, 11/27/07
10.7 FLUX=071.0  90-AVG=068        SSN=000      BKI=1223 1101  BAI=005
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1211 1012  PAI=004
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=004,003   27DAY-KP=1121 1010 2021 0001
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 26 NOV 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 27 NOV 07 are: 1- 2+ 1+ 1+   1- 0+ 1- 2- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 27 NOV 07 are:   3   9   5   5   3   2   3   6 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 27 NOV is: 2.8E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
       the past 24 hours. Region 975 (N03W50) has decayed to spotless
       plage.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. Solar wind speed steadily
       declined throughout the period with day-end values around 440 km/s.
       The greater than 2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
       high levels during the past 24 hours.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet for the next three days (28-30 november).

            Event probabilities 28 nov-30 nov

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 28 nov-30 nov

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                05/05/05
                        Minor storm           01/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 27/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
0975 N03W50   100                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 28 Nov to 30 Nov
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 27 NOVEMBER, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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