[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 30 September

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                               30 SEPTEMBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 30 SEPTEMBER, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was high today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 273, 09/30/07
10.7 FLUX=065.0  90-AVG=069        SSN=017      BKI=3344 2121  BAI=013
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3433 2122  PAI=012
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:067,067,067;SESC:067,067,067 BAI/PAI-FCST=007,007,012/008,010,012
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=012,006   27DAY-KP=3323 3223 2221 1221
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 29 SEP 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 29 SEP 07 are: 5- 5o 5- 4-   3+ 2- 4- 3+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 29 SEP 07 are:  39  48  39  22  18   6  22  18 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 30 SEP is: 6.1E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. No flares occurred during
       the last 24 hours.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to active during the past 24 hours.
       Unsettled to active conditions predominated from the start of the
       day through 1200Z due to continued effects of a high speed stream.
       However, a clear downward trend in solar wind speed began at about
       0800Z and geomagnetic conditions were quiet from 1200Z through the
       end of the period. The greater than 2 mev electron flux at
       geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the past 24 hours.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next two days (01-02
       october), and partway through the third day (03 october). However,
       an increase to unsettled to active levels is expected around mid-day
       on 03 october as a small coronal hole will be rotating into
       geoeffective position at that time.

            Event probabilities 01 oct-03 oct

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 01 oct-03 oct

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/30
                        Minor storm           05/05/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/30
                        Minor storm           05/05/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 30/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0971 N02W19   112  0040 Bxo  04   07 Beta
Regions Due to Return 01 Oct to 03 Oct
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 30 SEPTEMBER, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **