[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 06 October

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                06 OCTOBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 06 OCTOBER, 2007
-----------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 279, 10/06/07
10.7 FLUX=071.0  90-AVG=069        SSN=015      BKI=1122 2111  BAI=004
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1012 2212  PAI=005
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.4   @ 0320UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.3   @ 0323UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:067,067,067;SESC:067,067,067 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=002,002   27DAY-KP=0000 1011 1010 0001
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 05 OCT 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 06 OCT 07 are: 1o 0+ 1+ 2-   2o 2- 1o 2- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 06 OCT 07 are:   4   2   5   6   7   6   4   6 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 06 OCT is: 3.2E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    70.4,    71.0,    71.3 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  Newly numbered region 972
       (S05W06) emerged on the disk and is currently a small C-type sunspot
       group.  It produced a B1 flare at 05/2307Z.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 mev electron
       flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at high levels today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet for the next three days (07-09 october.)

            Event probabilities 07 oct-09 oct

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 07 oct-09 oct

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                05/05/05
                        Minor storm           01/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/10
                        Minor storm           01/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 06/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0972 S05W06   020  0060 Cro  06   05 Beta
Regions Due to Return 07 Oct to 09 Oct
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 06 OCTOBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **