[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 23 October

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                23 OCTOBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 23 OCTOBER, 2007
-----------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 296, 10/23/07
10.7 FLUX=067.0  90-AVG=068        SSN=000      BKI=3332 1111  BAI=008
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3321 1111  PAI=007
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:067,067,067;SESC:067,067,067 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,015,020/015,020,025
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=003,019   27DAY-KP=2100 1011 0002 1654
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 22 OCT 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 23 OCT 07 are: 3o 3- 2o 1o   1o 1o 1o 1o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 23 OCT 07 are:  15  12   7   4   4   4   4   4 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 23 OCT is: 4.7E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was at very low levels.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       at very low levels.

            The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled levels.  The greater
       than 2 mev electron flux reached high levels.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels through most of 24
       october.  Active periods and isolated minor storm conditions are
       likely to occur as a coronal hole high speed stream rotates into a
       geoeffective position later in the day.  Activity is expected to
       increase to unsettled to active levels with possible minor storm
       periods through the rest of the forecast period (25 and 26 october).

            Event probabilities 24 oct-26 oct

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 24 oct-26 oct

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                25/30/35
                        Minor storm           10/15/20
                        Major-severe storm    01/05/10

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                30/35/40
                        Minor storm           15/25/30
                        Major-severe storm    10/15/20


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 23/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 24 Oct to 26 Oct
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 23 OCTOBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **