[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 24 October
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Thu Oct 25 22:31:39 GMT 2007
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
24 OCTOBER, 2007
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 24 OCTOBER, 2007
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NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 297, 10/24/07
10.7 FLUX=068.0 90-AVG=068 SSN=000 BKI=1102 2121 BAI=004
BGND-XRAY=A1.0 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=1001 1111 PAI=003
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-MIN= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:067,067,067;SESC:067,067,067 BAI/PAI-FCST=015,020,012/020,025,012
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=019,021 27DAY-KP=0002 1654 4443 2245
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 23 OCT 07 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 24 OCT 07 are: 1- 0+ 0o 1o 1+ 1o 1- 1-
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 24 OCT 07 are: 3 2 0 4 5 4 3 3
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 24 OCT is: 4.3E+07
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity was at very low levels. The visible
solar disk remained spotless.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to remain
at very low levels.
The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 mev
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be at quiet to active levels due to a coronal hole high
speed stream rotating into a geoeffective position on day one (25
october). Minor storm periods at middle latitudes and major storm
periods at high latitudes are possible throughout the forecast
period (25 - 27 october).
Event probabilities 25 oct-27 oct
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 25 oct-27 oct
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 30/35/25
Minor storm 15/20/15
Major-severe storm 05/10/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 35/40/25
Minor storm 25/30/20
Major-severe storm 15/20/10
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 24/2400Z
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Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 25 Oct to 27 Oct
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 24 OCTOBER, 2007
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Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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