[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 24 October

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Thu Oct 25 22:31:39 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                24 OCTOBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 24 OCTOBER, 2007
-----------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 297, 10/24/07
10.7 FLUX=068.0  90-AVG=068        SSN=000      BKI=1102 2121  BAI=004
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1001 1111  PAI=003
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:067,067,067;SESC:067,067,067 BAI/PAI-FCST=015,020,012/020,025,012
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=019,021   27DAY-KP=0002 1654 4443 2245
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 23 OCT 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 24 OCT 07 are: 1- 0+ 0o 1o   1+ 1o 1- 1- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 24 OCT 07 are:   3   2   0   4   5   4   3   3 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 24 OCT is: 4.3E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was at very low levels.  The visible
       solar disk remained spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       at very low levels.

            The geomagnetic field was at quiet levels.  The greater than 2 mev
       electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
       today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be at quiet to active levels due to a coronal hole high
       speed stream rotating into a geoeffective position on day one (25
       october).  Minor storm periods at middle latitudes and major storm
       periods at high latitudes are possible throughout the forecast
       period (25 - 27 october).

            Event probabilities 25 oct-27 oct

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 25 oct-27 oct

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                30/35/25
                        Minor storm           15/20/15
                        Major-severe storm    05/10/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                35/40/25
                        Minor storm           25/30/20
                        Major-severe storm    15/20/10


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 24/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 25 Oct to 27 Oct
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 24 OCTOBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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