[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 26 October

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Sat Oct 27 22:31:37 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                26 OCTOBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 26 OCTOBER, 2007
-----------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 299, 10/26/07
10.7 FLUX=068.0  90-AVG=067        SSN=000      BKI=3323 4332  BAI=014
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3322 3342  PAI=014
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:067,067,067;SESC:067,067,067 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,008,010/012,010,015
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=026,012   27DAY-KP=5554 3243 3433 2122
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 25 OCT 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 26 OCT 07 are: 3o 3o 2- 2+   3+ 3+ 4- 2- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 26 OCT 07 are:  15  15   6   9  18  18  22   6 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 26 OCT is: 2.2E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active conditions.  The
       solar wind data observed at the ace spacecraft indicates the
       presence of the coronal hole high speed wind stream.  Speeds have
       averaged around 670 km/s with bz fluctuations between +/- 4 nt.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be predominately unsettled with isolated active
       conditions due to the influence of the coronal hole high speed
       stream.

            Event probabilities 27 oct-29 oct

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 27 oct-29 oct

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                20/15/20
                        Minor storm           15/10/15
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                25/20/25
                        Minor storm           20/15/20
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 26/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 27 Oct to 29 Oct
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 26 OCTOBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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