[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 27 October

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Sun Oct 28 22:31:37 GMT 2007


                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                27 OCTOBER, 2007

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 27 OCTOBER, 2007
-----------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 300, 10/27/07
10.7 FLUX=067.0  90-AVG=068        SSN=000      BKI=2334 3322  BAI=013
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2324 2222  PAI=010
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:067,067,067;SESC:067,067,067 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,010,008/010,015,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=012,008   27DAY-KP=3433 2122 2232 2212
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 26 OCT 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 27 OCT 07 are: 2+ 3- 2o 4-   2o 2+ 2o 2- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 27 OCT 07 are:   9  12   7  22   7   9   7   6 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 27 OCT is: 2.3E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  The visible solar disk
       remains spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to active conditions.  Real-time
       solar wind speeds have shown a decline from last reporting period at
       670 km/s.  Speeds are now averaging around 540 km/s with bz
       continuing to range from +/- 4 nt.  The greater than 2 mev electron
       flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active conditions
       for 28-30 october.

            Event probabilities 28 oct-30 oct

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 28 oct-30 oct

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/20/15
                        Minor storm           10/15/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/05/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/25/20
                        Minor storm           15/20/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/05/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 27/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 28 Oct to 30 Oct
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 27 OCTOBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


More information about the Finalsolar mailing list