[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 28 October

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Mon Oct 29 22:31:41 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                28 OCTOBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 28 OCTOBER, 2007
-----------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was high today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 301, 10/28/07
10.7 FLUX=068.0  90-AVG=068        SSN=000      BKI=2322 2311  BAI=008
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2322 2311  PAI=007
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:067,067,067;SESC:067,067,067 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,008,005/015,008,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=008,009   27DAY-KP=2232 2212 2221 2323
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 27 OCT 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 28 OCT 07 are: 2o 3- 2- 2o   2- 3- 1- 1- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 28 OCT 07 are:   7  12   6   7   6  12   3   3 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 28 OCT is: 5.7E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.  The greater than 2 mev
       electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods for
       29 october due to the possible influence from a recurrent coronal
       hole.  Quiet to unsettled conditions are expected for 30 october,
       with mostly quiet levels on 31 october as the coronal hole high
       speed stream subsides.

            Event probabilities 29 oct-31 oct

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 29 oct-31 oct

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                20/15/10
                        Minor storm           15/10/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                25/15/10
                        Minor storm           20/10/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 28/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 29 Oct to 31 Oct
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 28 OCTOBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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