[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 29 October

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Tue Oct 30 22:31:38 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                29 OCTOBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 29 OCTOBER, 2007
-----------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was high today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 302, 10/29/07
10.7 FLUX=067.0  90-AVG=068        SSN=000      BKI=2123 2234  BAI=011
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2012 2254  PAI=014
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:067,067,067;SESC:067,067,067 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,005,005/010,008,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=009,018   27DAY-KP=2221 2323 3433 4333
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 28 OCT 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 29 OCT 07 are: 2o 0+ 1+ 2-   2+ 2o 5o 4o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 29 OCT 07 are:   7   2   5   6   9   7  48  27 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 29 OCT is: 6.2E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  The visible disk remained
       spotless

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       very low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.  The greater than 2 mev
       electrons at geosynchronous orbit remained at high levels.  The
       coronal hole high speed stream appears to be waning.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled with a slight chance for an
       isolated active period on day one  (october 30).  Days two and three
       (october 30 - november 1) are expected to be quiet to unsettled.

            Event probabilities 30 oct-01 nov

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 30 oct-01 nov

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/10/10
                        Minor storm           10/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                15/10/10
                        Minor storm           10/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 29/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 30 Oct to 01 Nov
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 29 OCTOBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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