[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 04 September

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                               04 SEPTEMBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 04 SEPTEMBER, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was high today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 247, 09/04/07
10.7 FLUX=068.0  90-AVG=071        SSN=014      BKI=2332 1212  BAI=008
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2221 1221  PAI=006
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B2.3   @ 0008UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 1132UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:068,068,068;SESC:068,068,068 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,010,006/005,015,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=006,004   27DAY-KP=2321 1101 1022 1011
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 03 SEP 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 04 SEP 07 are: 2o 2- 2o 1+   1- 0+ 1o 2o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 04 SEP 07 are:   7   6   7   5   3   2   4   7 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 04 SEP is: 9.6E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  A single low-level
       B-class flare was observed during the past 24 hours.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.  The greater than 2 mev
       electron flux at geosynchronous orbit remained at high levels today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet on 05 september.  Expect quiet to active
       conditions, with isolated minor storm periods possible at high
       latitudes, on 06 september due to a recurrent coronal hole.  Mostly
       quiet to unsettled conditions are expected to return on 07
       september.

            Event probabilities 05 sep-07 sep

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 05 sep-07 sep

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/35/15
                        Minor storm           05/15/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                15/35/25
                        Minor storm           05/20/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/10/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 04/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0970 S07W44   121  0020 Bxo  04   04 Beta
Regions Due to Return 05 Sep to 07 Sep
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 04 SEPTEMBER, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **