[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 05 September

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                               05 SEPTEMBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 05 SEPTEMBER, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was high today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 248, 09/05/07
10.7 FLUX=070.9  90-AVG=070        SSN=015      BKI=2443 3221  BAI=013
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2442 3122  PAI=012
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A4.0   @ 1807UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.1   @ 1006UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:068,068,067;SESC:068,068,067 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,006,005/015,010,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=004,013   27DAY-KP=1022 1011 1122 4443
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 04 SEP 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 05 SEP 07 are: 2+ 4- 4o 2+   3- 1+ 2- 2o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 05 SEP 07 are:   9  22  27   9  12   5   6   7 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 05 SEP is: 5.3E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    70.5,    70.9,    70.6 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  No significant flares
       were observed during the past 24 hours.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to active.  The greater than 2 mev
       electron flux reached high levels today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to active, with isolated minor storm periods
       possible on 06 september as a recurrent coronal hole moves into a
       geoeffective position.  Expect quiet to unsettled conditions with
       isolated active periods possible at high latitudes on 07 september. 
       Quiet to unsettled conditions will prevail on 08 september.

            Event probabilities 06 sep-08 sep

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 06 sep-08 sep

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                35/15/10
                        Minor storm           15/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                35/25/15
                        Minor storm           20/10/05
                        Major-severe storm    10/05/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 05/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0970 S09W63   127  0030 Bxo  05   05 Beta
Regions Due to Return 06 Sep to 08 Sep
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 05 SEPTEMBER, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **