[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 06 September
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Fri Sep 7 22:31:45 GMT 2007
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
06 SEPTEMBER, 2007
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 06 SEPTEMBER, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------------
NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.
The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 249, 09/06/07
10.7 FLUX=071.0 90-AVG=070 SSN=012 BKI=3212 2334 BAI=012
BGND-XRAY=A1.0 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=3212 2234 PAI=013
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= A2.1 @ 1619UT XRAY-MIN= A1.0 @ 0217UT XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:067,067,067;SESC:067,067,067 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,005,005/010,005,005
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=013,012 27DAY-KP=1122 4443 3332 2332
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 05 SEP 07 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 06 SEP 07 are: 3+ 2- 1o 3- 2o 2+ 3+ 4+
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 06 SEP 07 are: 18 6 4 12 7 9 18 32
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 06 SEP is: 4.9E+08
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: 70.4, 71.0, 71.3 sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity was very low. No significant flares
were observed during the last 24 hours.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be very
low.
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 mev
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to active, with minor storm periods possible at
high latitudes on 7 september due to a recurrent coronal hole.
Quiet to unsettled conditions will prevail on 8 september. Expect
quiet conditions to return on 9 september.
Event probabilities 07 sep-09 sep
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 07 sep-09 sep
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/10/10
Minor storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 25/15/10
Minor storm 10/05/05
Major-severe storm 05/01/01
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 06/2400Z
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
0970 S07W75 126 0010 Bxo 05 02 Beta
Regions Due to Return 07 Sep to 09 Sep
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 06 SEPTEMBER, 2007
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Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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