[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 14 September

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                               14 SEPTEMBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 14 SEPTEMBER, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 257, 09/14/07
10.7 FLUX=067.0  90-AVG=070        SSN=000      BKI=1001 2322  BAI=005
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1000 0232  PAI=004
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:067,067,067;SESC:067,067,067 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=004,003   27DAY-KP=2000 1112 0001 2201
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 13 SEP 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 14 SEP 07 are: 1o 0o 0o 0o   0+ 2o 3- 2o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 14 SEP 07 are:   4   0   0   0   2   7  12   7 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 14 SEP is: 2.1E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  The visible disk remains
       spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       very low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet, with isolated unsettled periods early on day
       one (15 september).  Quiet conditions are expected for the remainder
       of the forecast period.

            Event probabilities 15 sep-17 sep

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 15 sep-17 sep

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/05/05
                        Minor storm           01/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 14/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 15 Sep to 17 Sep
Nmbr Lat    Lo
0969 S08    188


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 14 SEPTEMBER, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **