[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 22 September

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                               22 SEPTEMBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 22 SEPTEMBER, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 265, 09/22/07
10.7 FLUX=067.0  90-AVG=070        SSN=000      BKI=3232 2333  BAI=012
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3231 2243  PAI=011
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:067,067,067;SESC:067,067,067 BAI/PAI-FCST=015,010,005/015,015,008
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=010,012   27DAY-KP=1111 2243 3242 2233
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 21 SEP 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 22 SEP 07 are: 3+ 2- 3- 1+   2o 2+ 4- 3- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 22 SEP 07 are:  18   6  12   5   7   9  22  12 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 22 SEP is: 1.3E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. There were no spots
       observed on the solar disk.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was at quiet to unsettled conditions.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be unsettled to active on 23 september, with isolated
       minor storm conditions at high latitudes. The elevated activity is
       due to the continued influence of a recurrent coronal hole. Quiet to
       unsettled conditions should return for 24-25 september as the high
       speed solar wind stream subsides.

            Event probabilities 23 sep-25 sep

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 23 sep-25 sep

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                35/20/10
                        Minor storm           10/10/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                35/25/15
                        Minor storm           15/15/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 22/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 23 Sep to 25 Sep
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 22 SEPTEMBER, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **