[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 23 September

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Mon Sep 24 22:31:41 GMT 2007


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                               23 SEPTEMBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 23 SEPTEMBER, 2007
-------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 266, 09/23/07
10.7 FLUX=066.0  90-AVG=070        SSN=000      BKI=3443 2113  BAI=014
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3442 2123  PAI=015
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:067,067,067;SESC:067,067,067 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,005,005/010,008,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=012,011   27DAY-KP=3242 2233 3234 2222
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 22 SEP 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 23 SEP 07 are: 3o 4+ 4o 2+   2o 1o 2- 3+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 23 SEP 07 are:  15  32  27   9   7   4   6  18 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 23 SEP is: 2.2E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  The visible solar disk
       remains spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active.  Solar wind speed
       is elevated at approximately 650 km/s due to a geoeffective coronal
       hole high speed stream.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled with possible active periods on 24
       september due to the coronal hole high speed stream.  Expect quiet
       to unsettled conditions on 25 - 26 september.

            Event probabilities 24 sep-26 sep

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 24 sep-26 sep

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                20/10/10
                        Minor storm           10/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/15/10
                        Minor storm           10/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 23/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 24 Sep to 26 Sep
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 23 SEPTEMBER, 2007
--------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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