[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 31 March

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Tue Apr 1 22:31:45 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 31 MARCH, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 31 MARCH, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was very high today.

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 091, 03/31/08
10.7 FLUX=079.0  90-AVG=073        SSN=045      BKI=1002 2211  BAI=003
BGND-XRAY=A3.3     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2002 1112  PAI=004
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B2.5   @ 0534UT    XRAY-MIN= A2.1   @ 0339UT   XRAY-AVG= A4.5
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:079,075,075;SESC:079,075,075 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,008
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=004,008   27DAY-KP=1221 1101 1123 3212
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 30 MAR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 30 MAR 08 are: 4- 2+ 2+ 2-   2- 1- 1o 2+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 30 MAR 08 are:  22   9   9   6   6   3   4   9 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 31 MAR is: 1.8E+09
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. Region 988 (S07W35)
       produced today's only B-class flare, a B2/sf at 0534Z. All three
       regions on the disk were quiet and stable and show an overall
       declining trend.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 mev electron flux
       at geosynchronous orbit was high during the past 24 hours.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet for the next three days (01-03 april).

            Event probabilities 01 apr-03 apr

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 01 apr-03 apr

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/15/15
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                15/15/15
                        Minor storm           10/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 31/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0987 S07W58   261  0050 Cro  04   05 Beta
0988 S07W35   238  0190 Cao  06   09 Beta
0989 S11W01   204  0010 Axx  00   01 Alpha
Regions Due to Return 01 Apr to 03 Apr
Nmbr Lat    Lo
0986 S04    096


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 31 MARCH, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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