[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 02 April

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Thu Apr 3 22:31:44 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 02 APRIL, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 02 APRIL, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was very high today.

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 093, 04/02/08
10.7 FLUX=076.0  90-AVG=073        SSN=024      BKI=0100 0111  BAI=001
BGND-XRAY=A2.6     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0000 0100  PAI=001
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= B2.0   @ 2346UT    XRAY-MIN= A2.1   @ 1055UT   XRAY-AVG= A3.8
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,070;SESC:075,075,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,007,015/005,010,015
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=002,003   27DAY-KP=0000 1201 1110 1111
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 01 APR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 02 APR 08 are: 0+ 0o 0o 0o   0+ 1o 0o 0+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 02 APR 08 are:   2   0   0   0   2   4   0   2 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 02 APR is: 1.6E+09
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. No significant flare
       activity occurred. Region 987 (S08W89) was quiet and stable as it
       neared the west limb. Region 988 (S07W63) remained a stable h-type.
       Minor filament activity was reported in plage region 989 (S11W28).
       No new regions were numbered.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 mev electron flux
       at geosynchronous orbit was high.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet on day 1 (03 april). Activity is expected to
       increase to unsettled levels on day 2 (04 april) with active periods
       at high latitudes as a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream
       becomes geoeffective. A further increase to active levels is
       expected on day 3 (05 april) with minor to major storm periods at
       high latitudes as the high-speed stream continues.

            Event probabilities 03 apr-05 apr

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 03 apr-05 apr

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                05/10/40
                        Minor storm           01/01/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/15/50
                        Minor storm           01/01/25
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 02/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0987 S08W89   265  0020 Axx  01   02 Alpha
0988 S07W63   239  0200 Hsx  03   02 Alpha
0989 S11W28   204                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 03 Apr to 05 Apr
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 02 APRIL, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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