[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 02 April
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Thu Apr 3 22:31:44 GMT 2008
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
02 APRIL, 2008
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 02 APRIL, 2008
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NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was very high today.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 093, 04/02/08
10.7 FLUX=076.0 90-AVG=073 SSN=024 BKI=0100 0111 BAI=001
BGND-XRAY=A2.6 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=0000 0100 PAI=001
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= B2.0 @ 2346UT XRAY-MIN= A2.1 @ 1055UT XRAY-AVG= A3.8
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,070;SESC:075,075,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,007,015/005,010,015
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=002,003 27DAY-KP=0000 1201 1110 1111
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 01 APR 08 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 02 APR 08 are: 0+ 0o 0o 0o 0+ 1o 0o 0+
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 02 APR 08 are: 2 0 0 0 2 4 0 2
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 02 APR is: 1.6E+09
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity was very low. No significant flare
activity occurred. Region 987 (S08W89) was quiet and stable as it
neared the west limb. Region 988 (S07W63) remained a stable h-type.
Minor filament activity was reported in plage region 989 (S11W28).
No new regions were numbered.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be very
low.
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 mev electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit was high.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet on day 1 (03 april). Activity is expected to
increase to unsettled levels on day 2 (04 april) with active periods
at high latitudes as a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream
becomes geoeffective. A further increase to active levels is
expected on day 3 (05 april) with minor to major storm periods at
high latitudes as the high-speed stream continues.
Event probabilities 03 apr-05 apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 03 apr-05 apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/10/40
Minor storm 01/01/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/15/50
Minor storm 01/01/25
Major-severe storm 01/01/05
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 02/2400Z
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
0987 S08W89 265 0020 Axx 01 02 Alpha
0988 S07W63 239 0200 Hsx 03 02 Alpha
0989 S11W28 204 Plage
Regions Due to Return 03 Apr to 05 Apr
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 02 APRIL, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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