[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 03 April

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 03 APRIL, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 03 APRIL, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was very high today.

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 094, 04/03/08
10.7 FLUX=076.0  90-AVG=073        SSN=014      BKI=0100 0100  BAI=000
BGND-XRAY=A3.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1100 0100  PAI=002
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= C1.2   @ 0122UT    XRAY-MIN= A2.8   @ 0918UT   XRAY-AVG= A7.7
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,070,070;SESC:075,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=007,015,012/010,015,015
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=003,011   27DAY-KP=1110 1111 0011 4431
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 02 APR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 03 APR 08 are: 1o 1- 0o 0o   0+ 1- 0o 0+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 03 APR 08 are:   4   3   0   0   2   3   0   2 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 03 APR is: 1.7E+09
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was low. Spotless plage region 989
       (S11W41) produced two low-level C-class flares early in the period.
       No new regions were numbered.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low to low. There is a fair chance for an isolated C-class flare
       from plage region 989.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 mev electron flux
       at geosynchronous orbit was high.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  geomagnetic field activity is
       expected to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day 1 (04 april) with
       active periods at high latitudes as a recurrent coronal hole
       high-speed stream becomes geoeffective. Activity is expected to
       increase to active levels on days 2 - 3 (05 - 06 april) with minor
       to major storm periods at high latitudes as the high-speed stream
       continues.

            Event probabilities 04 apr-06 apr

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 04 apr-06 apr

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/40/30
                        Minor storm           01/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                15/50/50
                        Minor storm           05/25/25
                        Major-severe storm    01/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 03/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0988 S06W78   241  0070 Hsx  04   04 Alpha
0989 S11W41   204                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 04 Apr to 06 Apr
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 03 APRIL, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **