[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 08 April

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Wed Apr 9 22:31:44 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 08 APRIL, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 08 APRIL, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 099, 04/08/08
10.7 FLUX=071.1  90-AVG=072        SSN=000      BKI=2233 3222  BAI=010
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1123 3223  PAI=009
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,008,005/010,010,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=014,014   27DAY-KP=2442 1142 2324 4332
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 07 APR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 08 APR 08 are: 1+ 1o 2o 3-   3- 2+ 2o 3o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 08 APR 08 are:   5   4   7  12  12   9   7  15 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 08 APR is: 3.2E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    71.0,    71.1,    70.9 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. A non earth-directed cme
       was first observed off the west limb on soho/lasco C2 imagery at
       08/1750Z. No new regions were numbered.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind velocities
       remained elevated due to the continuing high speed stream. 
       Velocities from the ace satellite ranged from 604 km/sec to 778
       km/sec during the past 24 hours. Imf bz continued to fluctuate
       between -4.9 nt to 5.7 nt. The 2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous
       orbit reached high levels today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active conditions
       for the next two days (09-10 april). Isolated minor storm levels are
       possible at high latitudes during this period due to the high speed
       stream.  Activity is expected to be quiet to unsettled on day three
       (11 april).

            Event probabilities 09 apr-11 apr

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 09 apr-11 apr

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                20/20/15
                        Minor storm           05/05/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                30/30/25
                        Minor storm           10/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 08/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 09 Apr to 11 Apr
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 08 APRIL, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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