[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 08 April
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Wed Apr 9 22:31:44 GMT 2008
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
08 APRIL, 2008
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 08 APRIL, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------
NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.
The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 099, 04/08/08
10.7 FLUX=071.1 90-AVG=072 SSN=000 BKI=2233 3222 BAI=010
BGND-XRAY=A1.0 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=1123 3223 PAI=009
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-MIN= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,008,005/010,010,005
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=014,014 27DAY-KP=2442 1142 2324 4332
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 07 APR 08 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 08 APR 08 are: 1+ 1o 2o 3- 3- 2+ 2o 3o
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 08 APR 08 are: 5 4 7 12 12 9 7 15
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 08 APR is: 3.2E+08
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: 71.0, 71.1, 70.9 sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity was very low. A non earth-directed cme
was first observed off the west limb on soho/lasco C2 imagery at
08/1750Z. No new regions were numbered.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be very
low.
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. Solar wind velocities
remained elevated due to the continuing high speed stream.
Velocities from the ace satellite ranged from 604 km/sec to 778
km/sec during the past 24 hours. Imf bz continued to fluctuate
between -4.9 nt to 5.7 nt. The 2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous
orbit reached high levels today.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active conditions
for the next two days (09-10 april). Isolated minor storm levels are
possible at high latitudes during this period due to the high speed
stream. Activity is expected to be quiet to unsettled on day three
(11 april).
Event probabilities 09 apr-11 apr
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 09 apr-11 apr
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/20/15
Minor storm 05/05/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 30/30/25
Minor storm 10/10/10
Major-severe storm 05/05/01
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 08/2400Z
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 09 Apr to 11 Apr
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 08 APRIL, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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