[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 10 April

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Fri Apr 11 22:31:51 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 10 APRIL, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 10 APRIL, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was high today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 101, 04/10/08
10.7 FLUX=069.4  90-AVG=072        SSN=000      BKI=2232 2222  BAI=008
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3221 2123  PAI=008
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=007,005,005/008,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=013,011   27DAY-KP=2332 2433 3314 3211
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 09 APR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 10 APR 08 are: 3o 2+ 2o 1+   2o 1o 2- 3- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 10 APR 08 are:  15   9   7   5   7   4   6  12 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 10 APR is: 6.4E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    69.5,    69.4,    69.4 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to unsettled.  Solar wind
       speed remains elevated to greater than 600 km/sec due to the
       continued influence of a coronal hole high speed stream.  The
       greater than 2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached
       high levels again today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled 11 april and abate to
       predominately quiet for 12 - 13 april as the coronal hole high speed
       stream rotates out of its geoeffective position.

            Event probabilities 11 apr-13 apr

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 11 apr-13 apr

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                25/20/15
                        Minor storm           15/10/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 10/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 11 Apr to 13 Apr
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 10 APRIL, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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