[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 14 April

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Tue Apr 15 22:31:44 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 14 APRIL, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 14 APRIL, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 105, 04/14/08
10.7 FLUX=069.0  90-AVG=072        SSN=011      BKI=1100 1001  BAI=001
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1100 0011  PAI=002
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=008,006   27DAY-KP=3411 1101 0111 3312
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 13 APR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 14 APR 08 are: 1+ 1- 0o 0o   0+ 0+ 1- 1o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 14 APR 08 are:   5   3   0   0   2   2   3   4 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 14 APR is: 3.4E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed in
       the past 24 hours. New region 990 (N26E20) was numbered today. The
       magnetic polarity (negative leader, positive trailer) of region 990
       is consistent with a new cycle sunspot.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 mev electron flux
       at geosynchronous orbit was high during the past 24 hours.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet.

            Event probabilities 15 apr-17 apr

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 15 apr-17 apr

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                15/15/15
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 14/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0990 N26E20   358  0010 Axx  01   01 Alpha
Regions Due to Return 15 Apr to 17 Apr
Nmbr Lat    Lo
0987 S07    261


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 14 APRIL, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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