[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 28 April
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Tue Apr 29 22:31:47 GMT 2008
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
28 APRIL, 2008
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 28 APRIL, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------
NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.
The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 119, 04/28/08
10.7 FLUX=069.0 90-AVG=072 SSN=000 BKI=2133 3333 BAI=012
BGND-XRAY=A1.0 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=2123 3333 PAI=011
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-MIN= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,010,010/008,012,015
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=004,001 27DAY-KP=1220 1110 0000 0100
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 27 APR 08 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 28 APR 08 are: 2- 1- 2o 3- 3+ 3+ 3o 3-
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 28 APR 08 are: 6 3 7 12 18 18 15 12
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 28 APR is: 3.7E+08
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
during the past 24 hours.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be very
low.
The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 mev
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
past 24 hours.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods for
the next three days. An increase is expected late on day one (29
april) or early on day two (30 april) in response to a glancing blow
from the cme that was observed on 26 april.
Event probabilities 29 apr-01 may
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 29 apr-01 may
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 20/30/30
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/05/05
B. High Latitudes
Active 40/45/50
Minor storm 10/15/15
Major-severe storm 05/05/05
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 28/2400Z
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
None
0991 S10W89 282 Plage
0992 N13W86 279 Plage
Regions Due to Return 29 Apr to 01 May
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 28 APRIL, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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