[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 28 April

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Tue Apr 29 22:31:47 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                 28 APRIL, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 28 APRIL, 2008
---------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 119, 04/28/08
10.7 FLUX=069.0  90-AVG=072        SSN=000      BKI=2133 3333  BAI=012
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2123 3333  PAI=011
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,010,010/008,012,015
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=004,001   27DAY-KP=1220 1110 0000 0100
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 27 APR 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 28 APR 08 are: 2- 1- 2o 3-   3+ 3+ 3o 3- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 28 APR 08 are:   6   3   7  12  18  18  15  12 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 28 APR is: 3.7E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
       during the past 24 hours.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 mev
       electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
       past 24 hours.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods for
       the next three days. An increase is expected late on day one (29
       april) or early on day two (30 april) in response to a glancing blow
       from the cme that was observed on 26 april.

            Event probabilities 29 apr-01 may

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 29 apr-01 may

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                20/30/30
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/05/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                40/45/50
                        Minor storm           10/15/15
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 28/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
0991 S10W89   282                    Plage
0992 N13W86   279                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 29 Apr to 01 May
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 28 APRIL, 2008
----------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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