[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 31 January

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Fri Feb 1 22:31:45 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                31 JANUARY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 31 JANUARY, 2008
-----------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 031, 01/31/08
10.7 FLUX=072.0  90-AVG=074        SSN=015      BKI=0001 2433  BAI=008
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0000 1233  PAI=005
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,075;SESC:075,075,075 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,008,010/012,010,015
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=002,018   27DAY-KP=0000 0102 2244 4434
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 30 JAN 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 30 JAN 08 are: 1- 2o 0o 0+   0o 0o 0o 1- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 30 JAN 08 are:   3   7   0   2   0   0   0   3 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 31 JAN is: 5.7E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to active.  Solar wind data from ace
       show a marked increase in velocity, density, magnetic field and
       temperature.  These observations are consistent with the onset of a
       coronal hole high speed stream.  The greater than 2 mev electron
       flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be mostly unsettled with isolated active conditions due
       to the influence of a recurrent coronal hole.

            Event probabilities 01 feb-03 feb

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 01 feb-03 feb

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/15/15
                        Minor storm           10/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/20/25
                        Minor storm           15/15/20
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 31/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0982 S08E25   248  0050 Dso  05   05 Beta
Regions Due to Return 01 Feb to 03 Feb
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 31 JANUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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