[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 31 January
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Fri Feb 1 22:31:45 GMT 2008
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
31 JANUARY, 2008
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 31 JANUARY, 2008
-----------------------------------------------------------
NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 031, 01/31/08
10.7 FLUX=072.0 90-AVG=074 SSN=015 BKI=0001 2433 BAI=008
BGND-XRAY=A1.0 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=0000 1233 PAI=005
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-MIN= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:075,075,075;SESC:075,075,075 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,008,010/012,010,015
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=002,018 27DAY-KP=0000 0102 2244 4434
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 30 JAN 08 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 30 JAN 08 are: 1- 2o 0o 0+ 0o 0o 0o 1-
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 30 JAN 08 are: 3 7 0 2 0 0 0 3
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 31 JAN is: 5.7E+07
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity was very low.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be very
low.
The geomagnetic field was quiet to active. Solar wind data from ace
show a marked increase in velocity, density, magnetic field and
temperature. These observations are consistent with the onset of a
coronal hole high speed stream. The greater than 2 mev electron
flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly unsettled with isolated active conditions due
to the influence of a recurrent coronal hole.
Event probabilities 01 feb-03 feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 01 feb-03 feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 15/15/15
Minor storm 10/10/10
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 20/20/25
Minor storm 15/15/20
Major-severe storm 05/05/05
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 31/2400Z
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Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
0982 S08E25 248 0050 Dso 05 05 Beta
Regions Due to Return 01 Feb to 03 Feb
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 31 JANUARY, 2008
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Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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