[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 02 February

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                02 FEBRUARY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 02 FEBRUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 033, 02/02/08
10.7 FLUX=072.0  90-AVG=075        SSN=016      BKI=5532 3233  BAI=021
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=4532 3233  PAI=019
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=012,010,005/015,015,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=013,012   27DAY-KP=2422 3333 4423 3012
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 01 FEB 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 02 FEB 08 are: 4+ 5o 3- 2-   3+ 2o 3o 3o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 02 FEB 08 are:  32  48  12   6  18   7  15  15 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 02 FEB is: 8.0E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels. Active
       to minor storm levels occurred between 01/2100Z and 02/0600Z,
       followed by quiet to unsettled levels for the remainder of the
       period. A high speed stream with wind speeds of approximately 580 to
       620 km/s was responsible for the increase in geomagnetic activity.
       The greater than 2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at
       high levels today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be mostly unsettled with isolated active periods on days
       1 and 2 (03-04 february) as the high speed stream continues.
       Conditions are expected to decline to quiet to unsettled levels on
       day 3 (05 february).

            Event probabilities 03 feb-05 feb

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 03 feb-05 feb

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                30/30/10
                        Minor storm           15/15/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                35/35/10
                        Minor storm           25/25/05
                        Major-severe storm    10/10/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 02/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0982 S08W02   248  0020 Bxo  04   06 Beta
Regions Due to Return 03 Feb to 05 Feb
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 02 FEBRUARY, 2008
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
 2309 2309 2309                       160                           


**  End of Daily Report  **