[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 03 February

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                03 FEBRUARY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 03 FEBRUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 034, 02/03/08
10.7 FLUX=071.0  90-AVG=075        SSN=014      BKI=2333 2332  BAI=012
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3233 2332  PAI=012
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,005,005/010,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=012,013   27DAY-KP=4423 3012 2322 1442
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 02 FEB 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 03 FEB 08 are: 3o 2+ 3- 3o   2o 3o 3- 2+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 03 FEB 08 are:  15   9  12  15   7  15  12   9 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 03 FEB is: 4.1E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was at mostly unsettled levels. Solar wind
       speed remained elevated due to an ongoing high speed stream. The
       greater than 2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high
       levels again today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods
       through day 1 (04 february). Activity is expected to diminish to
       mostly quiet levels on days 2 and 3 (05-06 february) with the
       departure of the high speed stream.

            Event probabilities 04 feb-06 feb

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 04 feb-06 feb

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                40/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                45/10/10
                        Minor storm           15/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 03/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0982 S08W16   249  0010 Bxo  02   04 Beta
Regions Due to Return 04 Feb to 06 Feb
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 03 FEBRUARY, 2008
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **