[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 06 February

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                06 FEBRUARY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 06 FEBRUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was high today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 037, 02/06/08
10.7 FLUX=071.0  90-AVG=075        SSN=000      BKI=0010 1211  BAI=002
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0000 1132  PAI=004
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,008,010/005,008,012
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=003,002   27DAY-KP=2001 1101 1011 0011
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 05 FEB 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 06 FEB 08 are: 0+ 0+ 0o 0o   1- 1+ 3- 2- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 06 FEB 08 are:   2   2   0   0   3   5  12   6 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 06 FEB is: 9.1E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    70.4,    71.0,    71.3 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
       The visible disk was spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet at all latitudes. The greater than 2
       mev electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during
       the period.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet on day 1 (07 feb). Activity is expected to
       increase to unsettled levels during days 2 - 3 (08 - 09 feb) as a
       recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream becomes geoeffective.
       Isolated active periods are also possible on day 3 (09 feb).

            Event probabilities 07 feb-09 feb

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 07 feb-09 feb

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                05/20/25
                        Minor storm           01/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/25/30
                        Minor storm           01/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 06/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
0982 S09W54   248                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 07 Feb to 09 Feb
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 06 FEBRUARY, 2008
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **