[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 08 February

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                08 FEBRUARY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 08 FEBRUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 039, 02/08/08
10.7 FLUX=071.1  90-AVG=075        SSN=000      BKI=2111 1222  BAI=005
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2011 1012  PAI=004
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=010,015,010/012,015,012
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=009,011   27DAY-KP=0011 2432 3221 3332
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 07 FEB 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 08 FEB 08 are: 2+ 0+ 1o 1-   1- 0+ 1o 2o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 08 FEB 08 are:   9   2   4   3   3   2   4   7 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 08 FEB is: 7.3E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    71.0,    71.1,    70.9 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. No flares were detected.
       The visible disk was spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet. The greater than 2 mev
       electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the
       period.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled on day 1 (09 feb). Activity is
       expected to increase to unsettled to active levels on day 2 (10 feb)
       due to a recurrent coronal hole high-speed stream. Activity is
       expected to decrease to quiet to unsettled levels on day 3 (11 feb).

            Event probabilities 09 feb-11 feb

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 09 feb-11 feb

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                25/40/25
                        Minor storm           01/10/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                30/45/30
                        Minor storm           05/15/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 08/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
0982 S09W80   248                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 09 Feb to 11 Feb
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 08 FEBRUARY, 2008
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
 0927 0927 0927                       140                           


**  End of Daily Report  **