[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 10 February

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                10 FEBRUARY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 10 FEBRUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 041, 02/10/08
10.7 FLUX=069.4  90-AVG=075        SSN=000      BKI=1333 5433  BAI=019
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0232 4533  PAI=018
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=015,010,010/015,010,015
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=016,008   27DAY-KP=3334 3333 3222 3202
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 09 FEB 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 10 FEB 08 are: 0+ 2o 3o 2o   4+ 5o 3+ 3o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 10 FEB 08 are:   2   7  15   7  32  48  18  15 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 10 FEB is: 5.0E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    69.5,    69.4,    69.4 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. The visible disk was
       spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to minor storm levels. The
       increase in activity is attributable to the arrival of a high speed
       stream. Solar wind speed increased from approximately 450 km/s to
       approximately 650 km/s. The greater than 2 mev electron flux at
       geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be at quiet to active levels with isolated minor storm
       periods at high latitudes on day 1 (11 february) due to a recurrent
       coronal hole high-speed stream. Activity is expected to be at quiet
       to unsettled levels on days 2 and 3 (12-13 february) as the effects
       of the coronal hole high-speed stream wane.

            Event probabilities 11 feb-13 feb

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 11 feb-13 feb

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                40/25/25
                        Minor storm           10/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                45/30/40
                        Minor storm           15/10/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 10/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 11 Feb to 13 Feb
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 10 FEBRUARY, 2008
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **