[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 11 February

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                11 FEBRUARY, 2008

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 11 FEBRUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 042, 02/11/08
10.7 FLUX=072.0  90-AVG=075        SSN=000      BKI=4434 4322  BAI=019
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=4324 4322  PAI=017
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:072,072,072;SESC:072,072,072 BAI/PAI-FCST=012,010,010/012,012,015
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=008,011   27DAY-KP=3222 3202 3333 2223
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 10 FEB 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 11 FEB 08 are: 4o 4o 2o 4-   4- 3- 2o 2+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 11 FEB 08 are:  27  27   7  22  22  12   7   9 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 11 FEB is: 1.1E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was at very low levels.  The visible
       solar disk remained spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       at very low levels.

            The geomagnetic field was at unsettled to active levels due to the
       continued influence of a recurrent coronal hole high speed stream. 
       Solar wind speed at the ace spacecraft reached a maximum of
       approximately 760 km/s at 11/0825Z.  At the end of the summary
       period wind speed had declined to below 680 km/s.  The greater than
       2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
       today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be at mostly unsettled levels throughout the forecast
       period (12-14 february).  Isolated periods of active conditions at
       middle latitudes and minor storm levels at high latitudes are
       possible all three days, due to continued effects of the high speed
       stream.

            Event probabilities 12 feb-14 feb

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 12 feb-14 feb

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                35/35/35
                        Minor storm           10/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                40/40/40
                        Minor storm           15/15/15
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 11/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 12 Feb to 14 Feb
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 11 FEBRUARY, 2008
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **