[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 14 February

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                14 FEBRUARY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 14 FEBRUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 045, 02/14/08
10.7 FLUX=071.0  90-AVG=075        SSN=000      BKI=2232 3244  BAI=014
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2121 3154  PAI=015
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:072,072,072;SESC:072,072,072 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,008,005/010,010,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=010,009   27DAY-KP=3331 2322 1133 3312
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 13 FEB 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 14 FEB 08 are: 2o 1+ 2+ 1+   3+ 1+ 5o 4- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 14 FEB 08 are:   7   5   9   5  18   5  48  22 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 14 FEB is: 2.2E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was at very low levels.  The visible
       disk remains spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was predominately quiet to unsettled due to a
       geoeffective coronal hole high speed stream.  Solar wind speed
       remains in excess of 600 km/s.  The greater than 2 mev electron flux
       at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled, with possible isolated active
       conditions, 15 - 16 february due to the continued influence of the
       coronal hole high speed stream.  On 17 february conditions are
       expected to abate to quiet.

            Event probabilities 15 feb-17 feb

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 15 feb-17 feb

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                35/35/30
                        Minor storm           10/10/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                40/40/35
                        Minor storm           15/15/10
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 14/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 15 Feb to 17 Feb
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 14 FEBRUARY, 2008
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **