[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 19 February

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                19 FEBRUARY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 19 FEBRUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 050, 02/19/08
10.7 FLUX=072.0  90-AVG=075        SSN=000      BKI=4343 3323  BAI=017
BGND-XRAY=A0.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=3332 3222  PAI=010
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:072,072,072;SESC:072,072,072 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,008,005/008,012,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=003,005   27DAY-KP=0010 0112 1121 2122
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 18 FEB 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 19 FEB 08 are: 3+ 3o 3+ 2o   3o 2o 2o 2+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 19 FEB 08 are:  18  15  18   7  15   7   7   9 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 19 FEB is: 7.6E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was at very low levels.  The visible
       solar disk was spotless.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to remain
       at very low levels.

            The geomagnetic field was at quiet to active levels.  Solar wind
       speed at the ace spacecraft reached a maximum of 655 km/s at
       approximately 19/0159Z, and bz ranged between +/- 5nt.  Wind speed
       ended the summary period at around 600 km/s.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be at mostly unsettled levels, with isolated active
       periods possible on days one and two (20 - 21 february).  On day
       three (22 february) activity levels should decrease to predominately
       quiet levels.

            Event probabilities 20 feb-22 feb

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 20 feb-22 feb

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/05
                        Minor storm           05/05/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                15/20/10
                        Minor storm           10/10/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 19/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 20 Feb to 22 Feb
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 19 FEBRUARY, 2008
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **