[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 21 February
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Fri Feb 22 22:31:34 GMT 2008
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
21 FEBRUARY, 2008
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 21 FEBRUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------------
NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 052, 02/21/08
10.7 FLUX=072.0 90-AVG=075 SSN=000 BKI=1122 3211 BAI=006
BGND-XRAY=A0.0 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=0012 3211 PAI=006
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-MIN= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=011,005 27DAY-KP=2432 1132 2212 2111
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 20 FEB 08 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 21 FEB 08 are: 0+ 0+ 1o 2- 3- 2+ 1+ 1o
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 21 FEB 08 are: 2 2 4 6 12 9 5 4
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 21 FEB is: 1.1E+08
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------
Solar activity was at very low levels. The visible
solar disk remained spotless.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to continue
at very low levels.
The geomagnetic field was at mostly quiet levels. From 21/1200 -
1500Z, an isolated unsettled period was observed. This increase in
activity was due to sustained southward bz. The greater than 2 mev
electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again
today.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to remain at predominately quiet levels throughout the
forecast period (22 - 24 february).
Event probabilities 22 feb-24 feb
Class M 01/01/01
Class X 01/01/01
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 22 feb-24 feb
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 21/2400Z
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
None
Regions Due to Return 22 Feb to 24 Feb
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 21 FEBRUARY, 2008
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Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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