[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 25 February

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                25 FEBRUARY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 25 FEBRUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 056, 02/25/08
10.7 FLUX=071.0  90-AVG=075        SSN=012      BKI=1122 1111  BAI=004
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1112 0100  PAI=003
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,007,010/005,008,015
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=004,002   27DAY-KP=1212 1000 1200 0001
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 24 FEB 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 25 FEB 08 are: 1o 1- 1o 2-   0+ 1- 0o 0+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 25 FEB 08 are:   4   3   4   6   2   3   0   2 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 25 FEB is: 1.2E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. New region 983 (S01W39),
       currently classified as an axx alpha group, was numbered today.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 mev electron flux
       at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet on day one (26 february). Quiet to unsettled
       levels are expected on day two (27 february). Unsettled to active
       levels are expected on day three (28 february) with isolated minor
       storm conditions at high latitudes as a recurrent coronal hole
       becomes geoeffective.

            Event probabilities 26 feb-28 feb

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 26 feb-28 feb

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/15
                        Minor storm           05/05/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/15/25
                        Minor storm           05/10/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/05/10


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 25/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0983 S01W39   342  0020 Axx  04   02 Alpha
Regions Due to Return 26 Feb to 28 Feb
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 25 FEBRUARY, 2008
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **