[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 26 February

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Wed Feb 27 22:31:36 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                26 FEBRUARY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 26 FEBRUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The greater than 2 MeV electron fluence was moderate today.

The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 057, 02/26/08
10.7 FLUX=071.0  90-AVG=075        SSN=013      BKI=1211 1211  BAI=004
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0110 2101  PAI=003
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=007,010,012/008,015,015
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=002,005   27DAY-KP=1200 0001 0000 1233
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 25 FEB 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 26 FEB 08 are: 0+ 1+ 0o 0+   2- 1o 0+ 1+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 26 FEB 08 are:   2   5   0   2   6   4   2   5 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 26 FEB is: 1.0E+08
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. The only region on the
       visible disk is region 983 (S06W54).

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 mev electron
       flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels again today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled on day one (27 february). 
       Unsettled to active conditions are expected on days two and three
       (28 - 29 february) with isolated minor storm levels possible at high
       latitudes.  The increase in activity is due to a recurrent coronal
       hole high speed wind stream.

            Event probabilities 27 feb-29 feb

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 27 feb-29 feb

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                15/20/25
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/30/30
                        Minor storm           05/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 26/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0983 S06W54   344  0030 Bxo  04   03 Beta
Regions Due to Return 27 Feb to 29 Feb
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 26 FEBRUARY, 2008
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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