[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 27 February

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                27 FEBRUARY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 27 FEBRUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 058, 02/27/08
10.7 FLUX=071.0  90-AVG=075        SSN=012      BKI=2212 2343  BAI=011
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2201 2353  PAI=012
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=015,012,010/015,015,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=005,018   27DAY-KP=0000 1233 3233 2454
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 26 FEB 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 27 FEB 08 are: 2o 2- 0+ 1-   2o 3o 5o 3- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 27 FEB 08 are:   7   6   2   3   7  15  48  12 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 27 FEB is: 7.1E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled.  Solar wind
       measurements at the ace spacecraft indicated signatures consistent
       with a co-rotating interaction region around 27/1400Z.  The greater
       than 2 mev electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels
       today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be at unsettled to active conditions with isolated minor
       storm levels at high latitudes for 28-29 february due to a coronal
       hole high speed stream.  Predominately unsettled conditions are
       expected for 01 march.

            Event probabilities 28 feb-01 mar

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 28 feb-01 mar

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                25/20/15
                        Minor storm           10/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                30/30/20
                        Minor storm           15/15/10
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 27/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0983 S05W67   344  0030 Bxo  05   02 Beta
Regions Due to Return 28 Feb to 01 Mar
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 27 FEBRUARY, 2008
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **