[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 28 February

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                28 FEBRUARY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 28 FEBRUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 059, 02/28/08
10.7 FLUX=070.0  90-AVG=075        SSN=012      BKI=4344 4434  BAI=024
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=4333 3444  PAI=022
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.4   @ 1905UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 1904UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:070,070,070;SESC:070,070,070 BAI/PAI-FCST=012,010,005/012,010,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=018,019   27DAY-KP=3233 2454 4532 3233
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 27 FEB 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 28 FEB 08 are: 4o 3o 3- 3+   3o 4+ 4o 4o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 28 FEB 08 are:  27  15  12  18  15  32  27  27 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 28 FEB is: 4.4E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was unsettled to active with minor storm
       conditions at high latitudes.  Real-time solar wind observations are
       consistent with signatures of a coronal hole high-speed stream.  The
       velocity, magnetic field and temperature all showed an increase at
       about 28/1330Z.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be mostly unsettled with periods of active conditions
       for 29 february, and at unsettled levels for 01 march due to the
       influence of the high speed stream.  Activity is expected to be
       predominately quiet on 02 march as the stream subsides somewhat.

            Event probabilities 29 feb-02 mar

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 29 feb-02 mar

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                20/15/10
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                30/20/10
                        Minor storm           15/10/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 28/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0983 S06W81   344  0030 Bxo  06   02 Beta
Regions Due to Return 29 Feb to 02 Mar
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 28 FEBRUARY, 2008
-------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **