[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 31 December

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Tue Jan 1 22:31:36 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                31 DECEMBER, 2007

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 31 DECEMBER, 2007
------------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 365, 12/31/07
10.7 FLUX=077.0  90-AVG=072        SSN=000      BKI=0000 1122  BAI=002
BGND-XRAY=A6.2     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0000 1121  PAI=002
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:078,080,085;SESC:078,080,085 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=002,002   27DAY-KP=0000 1101 1000 1101
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 30 DEC 07 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 30 DEC 07 are: 1o 1o 0o 0+   0+ 1+ 0o 0+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 30 DEC 07 are:   4   4   0   2   2   5   0   2 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 31 DEC is: 5.9E-322
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was low.  A C8.3 flare occurred at
       31/0111Z accompanied by type ii and type iv radio sweeps (estimated
       shock speed 682 km/s).  An associated cme was observed on the east
       limb near S09.  The bright region from which the event originated
       has been assigned region 980 (S09E90).

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to continue
       at low levels with a slight chance of an M-class flare from region
       980.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 mev electrons at
       geosynchronous orbit remained at high levels today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to remain quiet.

            Event probabilities 01 jan-03 jan

                             Class M    15/15/15
                             Class X    05/05/05
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 01 jan-03 jan

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 31 DECEMBER, 2007
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**  End of Daily Report  **


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