[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 01 January

Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity. finalsolar at spacew.com
Wed Jan 2 22:31:41 GMT 2008


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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                01 JANUARY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 01 JANUARY, 2008
-----------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 001, 01/01/08
10.7 FLUX=079.0  90-AVG=072        SSN=011      BKI=1201 1110  BAI=002
BGND-XRAY=A3.8     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=1100 1101  PAI=003
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:082,085,087;SESC:082,085,087 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=002,001   27DAY-KP=1000 1101 0100 0000
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 31 DEC 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 01 DEC 08 are: 1o 1- 0o 0+   1- 1- 0+ 1o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 01 DEC 08 are:   4   3   0   2   3   3   2   4 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 01 JAN is: 2.5E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was low.  Region 980 (S07E69) produced a
       C1/sf flare at 01/1537Z.  As the region rotates onto the east limb,
       its initial classification is a simple axx alpha group.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low to low.  There is a chance for an isolated M-class event from
       region 980.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to remain quiet for the forecast period.

            Event probabilities 02 jan-04 jan

                             Class M    15/15/15
                             Class X    05/05/05
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       Green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 02 jan-04 jan

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                05/05/05
                        Minor storm           01/01/01
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                10/10/10
                        Minor storm           05/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 01/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0980 S07E69   238  0010 Axx  01   01 Alpha
Regions Due to Return 02 Jan to 04 Jan
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 01 JANUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **


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