[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 01 January
Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.
finalsolar at spacew.com
Wed Jan 2 22:31:41 GMT 2008
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DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY
01 JANUARY, 2008
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(Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)
SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 01 JANUARY, 2008
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!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 001, 01/01/08
10.7 FLUX=079.0 90-AVG=072 SSN=011 BKI=1201 1110 BAI=002
BGND-XRAY=A3.8 FLU1=*.*E+** FLU10=*.*E+** PKI=1100 1101 PAI=003
BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,*** DEV-AVG=*** NT SWF=00:000
XRAY-MAX= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-MIN= A1.0 @ 0000UT XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-MIN= +000% @ 0000UT NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
FLUXFCST=STD:082,085,087;SESC:082,085,087 BAI/PAI-FCST=005,005,005/005,005,005
KFCST=**** **** **** **** 27DAY-AP=002,001 27DAY-KP=1000 1101 0100 0000
WARNINGS=
ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!
NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 31 DEC 08 is not available.
The Full Kp Indices for 01 DEC 08 are: 1o 1- 0o 0+ 1- 1- 0+ 1o
The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 01 DEC 08 are: 4 3 0 2 3 3 2 4
Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 01 JAN is: 2.5E+07
DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.
SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
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Solar activity was low. Region 980 (S07E69) produced a
C1/sf flare at 01/1537Z. As the region rotates onto the east limb,
its initial classification is a simple axx alpha group.
Solar activity forecast: solar activity is expected to be very
low to low. There is a chance for an isolated M-class event from
region 980.
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
Geophysical activity forecast: the geomagnetic field is
expected to remain quiet for the forecast period.
Event probabilities 02 jan-04 jan
Class M 15/15/15
Class X 05/05/05
Proton 01/01/01
PCAF Green
Geomagnetic activity probabilities 02 jan-04 jan
A. Middle Latitudes
Active 05/05/05
Minor storm 01/01/01
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
B. High Latitudes
Active 10/10/10
Minor storm 05/05/05
Major-severe storm 01/01/01
COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================
Regions with Sunspots. Locations Valid at 01/2400Z
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Nmbr Location Lo Area Z LL NN Mag Type
0980 S07E69 238 0010 Axx 01 01 Alpha
Regions Due to Return 02 Jan to 04 Jan
Nmbr Lat Lo
None
LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 01 JANUARY, 2008
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Begin Max End Rgn Loc Xray Op 245MHz 10cm Sweep
None
** End of Daily Report **
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