[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 02 January

Thu Jan 3 22:32:08 GMT 2008

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                02 JANUARY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 02 JANUARY, 2008
-----------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 002, 01/02/08
10.7 FLUX=080.0  90-AVG=072        SSN=013      BKI=0000 1110  BAI=001
BGND-XRAY=A2.7     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0000 0000  PAI=001
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:085,087,090;SESC:085,087,090 BAI/PAI-FCST=006,008,008/008,010,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=001,001   27DAY-KP=0100 0000 0100 0000
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 01 JAN 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 02 JAN 08 are: 0o 0o 0o 0o   0+ 0+ 0+ 0+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 02 JAN 08 are:   0   0   0   0   2   2   2   2 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 02 JAN is: 4.2E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was low.  Region 980 (S08E58) produced a
       long duration C1 flare at 02/1000Z.  An associated cme was observed
       on lasco C3 imagery at 02/1006Z.  This region is currently
       classified as a cso beta sunspot group.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low to low.  There remains a slight chance for an isolated M-class
       event from region 980.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.  The greater than 2 mev electron
       flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods at
       high latitudes for the forecast period (3-5 january).  Elevated
       activity is forecast due to possible effects from transients
       associated with the recent C-class flares.

            Event probabilities 03 jan-05 jan

                             Class M    10/10/10
                             Class X    05/05/05
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 03 jan-05 jan

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                10/15/15
                        Minor storm           01/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                20/25/25
                        Minor storm           05/10/10
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 02/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0980 S08E58   236  0030 Cso  04   03 Beta
Regions Due to Return 03 Jan to 05 Jan
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 02 JANUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **