[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 03 January

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                03 JANUARY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 03 JANUARY, 2008
-----------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 003, 01/03/08
10.7 FLUX=079.0  90-AVG=072        SSN=013      BKI=0010 0110  BAI=001
BGND-XRAY=A1.3     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0000 0000  PAI=001
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:080,080,085;SESC:080,080,085 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,008,005/010,010,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=001,000   27DAY-KP=0100 0000 0000 0000
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 02 JAN 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 03 JAN 08 are: 0+ 0o 0+ 0o   0o 0o 0o 0+ 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 03 JAN 08 are:   2   0   2   0   0   0   0   2 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 03 JAN is: 4.0E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  No significant flares
       occurred during the past 24 hours.  Region 890 (S06E42) has decayed
       to an hsx alpha sunspot group.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low to low.  A chance remains for an isolated C-class flare from
       region 980.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled with isolated active periods for
       the next two days (4-5 january).  This elevated activity may result
       from transients associated with recent C-class flares. 
       Predominantly quiet conditions should return on 6 january.

            Event probabilities 04 jan-06 jan

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 04 jan-06 jan

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                20/20/15
                        Minor storm           10/10/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                25/25/20
                        Minor storm           15/15/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 03/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0980 S06E42   239  0020 Hsx  02   03 Alpha
Regions Due to Return 04 Jan to 06 Jan
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 03 JANUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **