[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 04 January

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                04 JANUARY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 04 JANUARY, 2008
-----------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 004, 01/04/08
10.7 FLUX=079.0  90-AVG=073        SSN=026      BKI=0001 1112  BAI=002
BGND-XRAY=A1.2     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=0000 0102  PAI=002
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:080,080,080;SESC:080,080,080 BAI/PAI-FCST=008,008,010/008,010,015
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=000,002   27DAY-KP=0000 0000 0000 0111
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 03 JAN 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 04 JAN 08 are: 0+ 0o 0o 0+   0+ 1- 0o 2o 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 04 JAN 08 are:   2   0   0   2   2   3   0   7 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 04 JAN is: 4.1E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z: N/A, N/A, N/A sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low.  Region 980 (S06E29)
       produced one low level B-class flare during the past 24 hours.  The
       region continued to decay and is now classified as a simple axx
       sunspot group.  New region 981 (N30E22) is classified as a cso beta
       sunspot group.  This region is likely a new solar cycle sunspot
       group.  A very faint backsided cme was observed on lasco C2 imagery
       at 4/1454Z.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.  There remains a slight chance for an isolated C-class event.

            The geomagnetic field was quiet.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be quiet to unsettled, with isolated active periods for
       the forecast period (5-7 january).  Isolated minor storm periods are
       possible at high latitudes on 7 january.

            Event probabilities 05 jan-07 jan

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 05 jan-07 jan

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                20/20/25
                        Minor storm           10/10/15
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/05

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                25/25/30
                        Minor storm           10/15/20
                        Major-severe storm    01/05/10


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 04/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0980 S06E29   239  0010 Axx  01   03 Alpha
0981 N30E22   246  0020 Cso  03   03 Beta
Regions Due to Return 05 Jan to 07 Jan
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 04 JANUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **