[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 05 January

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                05 JANUARY, 2008

                /\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\/\

                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 05 JANUARY, 2008
-----------------------------------------------------------

!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 005, 01/05/08
10.7 FLUX=070.9  90-AVG=073        SSN=012      BKI=2245 3323  BAI=017
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2244 4434  PAI=018
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:080,080,080;SESC:080,080,080 BAI/PAI-FCST=012,012,007/015,015,010
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=002,008   27DAY-KP=0000 0111 0222 2124
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 04 JAN 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 05 JAN 08 are: 2o 2o 4- 4o   4- 4- 3+ 4- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 05 JAN 08 are:   7   7  22  27  22  22  18  22 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 05 JAN is: 4.2E+06
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    70.5,    70.9,    70.6 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
       during the past 24 hours. Region 981 (N29E14) is currently the only
       spotted region on the disk but is quiet and stable.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was initially quiet but after 0600Z became
       predominantly unsettled to active with isolated minor storming in
       some locations. Real-time solar wind observations showed a marked
       increase in velocity, magnetic field and temperature at about
       04/2330Z, and then again at 05/0600Z. The signatures are most
       consistent with a high-speed stream from a coronal hole, although
       there may have been some complicating influence from the interaction
       of recent transient activity with the stream.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be mostly unsettled to active for the next two days
       (06-07 january) due to ongoing persistence from the high speed
       stream. Activity is expected to subside somewhat on the third day
       (08 january) as the stream should be declining at that time.

            Event probabilities 06 jan-08 jan

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 06 jan-08 jan

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                45/45/15
                        Minor storm           15/15/10
                        Major-severe storm    05/05/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                40/40/25
                        Minor storm           25/25/15
                        Major-severe storm    10/10/05


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 05/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0981 N29E14   241  0020 Bxo  01   02 Beta
0980 S06E16   239                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 06 Jan to 08 Jan
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 05 JANUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **