[Finalsolar] Daily Summary of Solar Geophysical Activity for 06 January

[Semi-finalized daily report of solar and geophysical activity.]

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                 DAILY SUMMARY OF SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY

                                06 JANUARY, 2008

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                  (Based In-Part On SESC Observational Data)


SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL ACTIVITY INDICES FOR 06 JANUARY, 2008
-----------------------------------------------------------

NOTE: The background x-ray flux was below class A1.0 levels.
!!BEGIN!! (1.0) S.T.D. Solar Geophysical Data Broadcast for DAY 006, 01/06/08
10.7 FLUX=071.0  90-AVG=073        SSN=012      BKI=2432 3333  BAI=014
BGND-XRAY=A1.0     FLU1=*.*E+**  FLU10=*.*E+**  PKI=2422 3333  PAI=013
  BOU-DEV=***,***,***,***,***,***,***,***   DEV-AVG=*** NT     SWF=00:000
 XRAY-MAX= A1.0   @ 0000UT    XRAY-MIN= A1.0   @ 0000UT   XRAY-AVG= A1.0
NEUTN-MAX= +000%  @ 0000UT   NEUTN-MIN= +000%  @ 0000UT  NEUTN-AVG= +0.0%
  PCA-MAX= +0.0DB @ 0000UT     PCA-MIN= +0.0DB @ 0000UT    PCA-AVG= +0.0DB
BOUTF-MAX=00000NT @ 0000UT   BOUTF-MIN=00000NT @ 0000UT  BOUTF-AVG=00000NT
GOES9-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES9-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G9-AVG=+00,+00,+00
GOES8-MAX=N:+000NT@ 2359UT   GOES8-MIN=N:+000NT@ 2359UT  G8-AVG=+00,+00,+00
 FLUXFCST=STD:080,080,080;SESC:080,080,080 BAI/PAI-FCST=012,007,005/015,008,005
    KFCST=**** **** **** ****  27DAY-AP=008,012   27DAY-KP=0222 2124 3233 2333
 WARNINGS=
   ALERTS=
!!END-DATA!!

NOTE: The Effective Sunspot Number for 05 JAN 08 is not available.
      The Full Kp Indices for 06 JAN 08 are: 2o 4- 2+ 2o   3o 3o 3+ 3- 
      The 3-Hr Ap Indices for 06 JAN 08 are:   7  22   9   7  15  15  18  12 
      Greater than 2 MeV Electron Fluence for 06 JAN is: 2.3E+07
      DRAO 10.7 cm Solar Flux at 18Z, 20Z, 22Z:    70.4,    71.0,    71.3 sfu.


SYNOPSIS OF ACTIVITY
--------------------

             Solar activity was very low. No flares were observed
       during the past 24 hours.

            Solar activity forecast:  solar activity is expected to be very
       low.

            The geomagnetic field was mostly unsettled with some isolated active
       periods during the past 24 hours. The solar wind speed remained
       elevated throughout the period and showed characteristics consistent
       with a high speed stream from a coronal hole. The greater than 2 mev
       electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels today.

            Geophysical activity forecast:  the geomagnetic field is
       expected to be unsettled with a chance for active periods for the
       first day (07 january). Conditions are expected to decline to quiet
       to unsettled for the second day (08 january) and should be
       predominantly quiet for the third day (09 january) as the high speed
       stream is expected to subside.

            Event probabilities 07 jan-09 jan

                             Class M    01/01/01
                             Class X    01/01/01
                             Proton     01/01/01
                             PCAF       green

            Geomagnetic activity probabilities 07 jan-09 jan

                        A.  Middle Latitudes
                        Active                35/20/15
                        Minor storm           10/05/05
                        Major-severe storm    01/01/01

                        B.  High Latitudes
                        Active                40/25/15
                        Minor storm           20/10/05
                        Major-severe storm    05/01/01


COPIES OF JOINT USAF/NOAA SEC SOLAR GEOPHYSICAL REPORTS
=======================================================

 Regions with Sunspots.  Locations Valid at 06/2400Z 
-----------------------------------------------------
Nmbr Location  Lo  Area  Z   LL   NN Mag Type
0981 N27W04   246  0020 Axx  02   02 Alpha
0980 S06E03   239                    Plage
Regions Due to Return 07 Jan to 09 Jan
Nmbr Lat    Lo
None


LISTING OF SOLAR ENERGETIC EVENTS FOR 06 JANUARY, 2008
------------------------------------------------------
Begin  Max  End  Rgn   Loc   Xray  Op 245MHz 10cm   Sweep
None


**  End of Daily Report  **